🌎 Présidentielle américaine : quel impact sur la Colombie ?
Alors que l’élection présidentielle américaine approche, la question de son impact sur la Colombie est cruciale. Depuis des décennies, la relation entre Washington et Bogota s’articule autour de partenariats stratégiques, notamment la lutte contre le narcotrafic, la gestion des flux migratoires et l’opposition au régime vénézuélien de Nicolas Maduro.
Un partenariat stratégique historique
La Colombie est souvent considérée comme un partenaire de choix pour les États-Unis, Joe Biden ayant même déclaré en 2023 que la Colombie était “la clé de l’hémisphère”. Depuis les années 2000, les États-Unis ont investi près de 14 milliards de dollars dans le cadre du Plan Colombia, principalement pour combattre le trafic de drogue, une priorité pour Washington. En parallèle, la Colombie a été saluée par les États-Unis pour son accueil de deux millions de Vénézuéliens, renforçant ainsi la coopération migratoire entre les deux pays.
Les tensions avec Gustavo Petro
L’élection de Gustavo Petro, premier président de gauche de l’histoire de la Colombie, a secoué les relations entre Bogota et Washington. Bien qu’aucun changement majeur ne soit encore survenu, Petro a adopté un discours plus indépendant, notamment sur la légalisation partielle de la drogue et la promotion d’alternatives agricoles dans les zones rurales. Cette approche diffère des politiques américaines traditionnelles et pourrait compliquer la collaboration à l’avenir.
Sur le plan diplomatique, Petro a pris des positions divergentes, rompant par exemple les relations avec Israël à la suite de ses critiques sur la guerre dans la bande de Gaza, ce qui contraste avec l’alignement historique de la Colombie avec les alliés américains.
L’impact de l’élection américaine
L’élection de Donald Trump pourrait avoir des conséquences directes sur l’aide américaine à la Colombie, la Chambre des représentants, dominée par les républicains, ayant déjà voté pour réduire cette aide. En outre, un retour de Trump au pouvoir pourrait favoriser une influence croissante de la Chine en Colombie, si les États-Unis se retirent de la scène latino-américaine.
En revanche, si Kamala Harris l’emporte, on pourrait s’attendre à un renforcement de la coopération dans des domaines comme la lutte contre le réchauffement climatique et une meilleure coordination sur les questions migratoires, des priorités pour Gustavo Petro.
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